Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.060865 0.071825 0.084094 0.098831 0.116041 0.135490 0.159127
2025-06-08 0.043100 0.056971 0.074233 0.097237 0.127034 0.164265 0.214263
2025-06-15 0.034261 0.049454 0.069974 0.099588 0.141096 0.197057 0.278065
2025-06-22 0.027404 0.042583 0.064530 0.098373 0.149004 0.221657 0.333483
2025-06-29 0.022198 0.036800 0.059214 0.095827 0.153788 0.241558 0.383971
2025-07-06 0.018179 0.031956 0.054275 0.092676 0.156624 0.258223 0.430989
2025-07-13 0.016008 0.029664 0.052883 0.094731 0.167634 0.288504 0.502750
2025-07-20 0.014019 0.027296 0.050915 0.095364 0.176111 0.315371 0.571858
2025-07-27 0.012398 0.025288 0.049214 0.096098 0.184663 0.343108 0.645483
2025-08-03 0.011126 0.023711 0.048023 0.097509 0.194469 0.373971 0.728057
2025-08-10 0.010224 0.022708 0.047747 0.100560 0.207634 0.412284 0.828590
2025-08-17 0.008802 0.020381 0.044496 0.097212 0.207806 0.426013 0.883707
2025-08-24 0.007843 0.018918 0.042852 0.097031 0.214544 0.453686 0.970424
2025-08-31 0.006914 0.017365 0.040791 0.095676 0.218680 0.476701 1.050684
2025-09-07 0.006382 0.016647 0.040451 0.098034 0.231063 0.518049 1.173843
2025-09-14 0.005678 0.015383 0.038672 0.096846 0.235382 0.542725 1.264066
2025-09-21 0.004988 0.014031 0.036476 0.094340 0.236307 0.560022 1.339929
2025-09-28 0.004357 0.012720 0.034178 0.091237 0.235377 0.572968 1.407329
2025-10-05 0.004060 0.012260 0.033946 0.093261 0.247122 0.616330 1.550127
2025-10-12 0.003728 0.011643 0.033213 0.093884 0.255446 0.652535 1.679961
2025-10-19 0.003434 0.011085 0.032555 0.094608 0.264112 0.690512 1.818339
2025-10-26 0.003195 0.010648 0.032161 0.095997 0.274702 0.734399 1.976281
2025-11-02 0.003034 0.010423 0.032336 0.099003 0.290025 0.791909 2.175145